Tag Archives: polls

Oh Noes! Obama’s Poll #’s are Up! What the Shit are We Gonna Do?

People are making a big brou-ha-ha because President Obama’s poll number went up this week, after months and months and months and months and month and months of bad numbers. Um, they do this every so often. A week will go by when he’ll get some good numbers, usually by polls conducted by news outlets that skew the sampling data to the towards the Democrats. Sorry, but Dems do not have a ten point advantage over Republicans.

Either way, we’re allegedly supposed to be concerned because this week of polling means that everything Republicans are doing is wrong, we’re screwed in 2012, and we should just do everything the President wants whenever he wants because that’s what NBC news and the NY Times say is the true spirit of compromise.

I want everyone to remember three things:
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Can 91% of Republicans be Wrong?

As unnamed sources continue to run around screaming “I saw Goody Palin with the Devil,” there were some interesting numbers that came out yesterday from Rasmussen Reports. Rasmussen is a polling agency that was the most accurate in this past election, and as an independent pollster, doesn’t take on the biases of the MSM outlets that hire them.

They found that amongst Republican voters:

-69% feel that she helped the ticket.

-71% think McCain made the right choice picking her, while only 65% think they made the right choice picking John McCain.

-She has a 91% FAVORABILITY RATING.

Now, she has A LOT of work to do to win over unaffiliated voters (and two or three years to do it), but for the time being the Republican voters are the one that matter most. This leads me to ask the following question…
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John McCain Could Still Win…

As we get into the final twenty-four hours, some notes for us McCain supporters to cling to bitterly…

1. The IBD-TIFF poll, which was the most accurate poll from 2004, only has Obama up by two nationally. They also had this to say…

The race tightened again Sunday as independents who’d been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates.

2. The Mason Dixon polls, which were the most accurate state polls in 2004, have all the battleground states within the margin of error. While they’re all former Bush states (except for one) and Obama is up in most of them, what might give McCain a little bit of good news is that the undecideds range from 5% to 10%. Speaking of undecideds…
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McCain Moves Into Lead 48-47

Yes it’s only one day, and yes it’s only Zogby, but when your opponent has been outspending you five to one, any poll that is 48%-47% in John McCain’s favor is news worthy (even if just for a day). So sayeth Zogby…

The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama 48% to 47% in Friday, one day, polling. He is beginning to cut into Obama’s lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters.

I’m curious to see what the IBD/TIFF poll says later, and then tomorrow’s polls to see if it was a one time thing or not, but for now it’s a good way to start off the day. I will say that neither candidate has been acting like their internal polls (the one’s the matter) show anything other than a deadlock.

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